2025 Canadian Election Odds: Liberals Gain Ground as Tories Stumble
The latest betting odds suggest a tight race between the Liberals and Conservatives, with the Liberals now edging ahead as slight favorites.
Initially, the Conservatives were expected to win by a landslide, but their support has collapsed due to leader Pierre Poilievre’s perceived alignment with Donald Trump and trade tensions with the U.S. Meanwhile, Mark Carney’s leadership of the Liberals has sparked renewed confidence among voters.
In January, the Tories were -1600 to win, but now they sit at +100, while the Liberals have surged from +1600 to -125 on bet365. Polls show voters prefer Carney over Poilievre to handle trade negotiations with Trump.
k With the NDP losing ground and Bloc Québécois gaining, the election outcome remains uncertain. While the official date is set for October 20, betting sites suggest an early election between March and May, with odds shifting from -390 to -2100.
Ontario sportsbooks allow betting on the election, but rules may vary by province.
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Liberals gaining ground just because Trudeau is gone says a lot. Maybe people were just tired of him, not the party itself.
Betting on elections feels weird, but these odds show how fast things can change. A few months ago, the Tories were a sure thing!
Carney might not have political experience, but at least he knows how to handle an economy. Poilievre just throws slogans around.
Poilievre had a massive lead, and now it's gone. Aligning with Trump was a terrible move—Canadians don’t want that kind of politics here.