Premier League 2025/26 finish line: Calendar analysis, predictions and bets

On the 29th round of the 2025/26 season, the English Premier League keeps us in incredible tension, and the situation is heated to the limit. As Wolverhampton's recent victory over defending champions Liverpool showed, in this league, anyone can beat anyone. But if intuition in betting often fails, then cold mathematical analysis is your best friend.

Using the Opta Power Rankings, we can soberly assess which of the teams has an easy walk ahead of them, and who will have a real hell at the end of the season. Let's break down the main intrigues and see how this data can help you make more profitable bets.

Championship race: Arsenal vs Manchester City

Arsenal are in a great position to win their first Premier League title since the distant 2003/04 season. Now the Londoners have a seven-point advantage at the top of the table, although they have played one game more than their main pursuer - Manchester City.

For Gunners fans and those who bet on their championship, there is great news: according to Opta, only four teams in the league theoretically have an easier calendar at the finish. In the last five matches, Mikel Arteta's team are waiting for a meeting with West Ham and Burnley, who are now floundering in the relegation zone.

But for Pep Guardiola's wards, the situation is more complicated. City have the fifth most difficult calendar in the league. They still have to play with Chelsea, Arsenal, Everton, Brentford and Aston Villa. The odds for Arsenal's championship are now sinking (around 1.40 - 1.50), but mathematics suggests that this is quite justified.

Who will take the tickets to the Champions League?

With the championship, everything is more or less clear, but the battle for the remaining two (or even three) places in the Champions League will be fierce. Manchester United, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Liverpool participate in it.

• Aston Villa: Despite the decline in form, Unai Emery's side have the easiest finish of any of the top four contenders. After the match with Manchester United, they will face a six-game series against less formidable opponents, including West Ham and Burnley.
• Chelsea: The Londoners have one of the most difficult schedules, so their recent 4-1 win over Villa came in handy.
• Liverpool: The unstable Reds have the seventh most difficult calendar. The last four matches against direct competitors: Man United, Chelsea, Villa and Brentford will be key.

Battle for survival: who faces the Championship?

At the bottom of the table, the situation looks deplorable for Wolverhampton and Burnley - they are highly likely to start the next season in the Championship. Wolves have the "easiest" calendar at the finish, but this is unlikely to help them, as they are 15 points behind the saving zone.

The real drama will unfold for the right to avoid the last ticket to the lower division. After Tottenham's home defeat to Crystal Palace (1:3), four teams were within three points of each other. At the same time, Crystal Palace, Everton and West Ham have the most difficult schedules in the league. With this in mind, betting on the elimination of one of these three can have a good value.

Premier League betting in Canada: looking for value at the end of the season

If you're betting from Canada, remember that the end of the Premier League season is a time of surprises. The motivation of teams from the bottom of the table often outweighs the class of favourites, who no longer need anything.

We always advise Canadian players to choose legal platforms that support CAD gaming and are subject to the rules of your province (e.g. iGaming Ontario). If you are looking for a reliable operator with a good line in the Premier League, be sure to study the lists of the best online platforms – you can often find top betting sections there.