The Prediction Market Bets on Trump's Takeover of Greenland
On the Polymarket platform, there has been a noticeable increase in interest in the future of Greenland. The probability that Donald Trump will be able to take control of the island by the end of 2026 has risen to 16%. We are talking about a market with a direct question "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?", where the total turnover has almost reached the $6 million mark.
At the end of December, the quotes were around 6-8%, but in the first days of January, the chart went up sharply. The trigger was a comment by Trump himself: he confirmed that his administration is considering scenarios for establishing control over Greenland. According to the politician, the discussions include different options - up to force.
Sounds like a plot for another political thriller, honestly.
Well, 16% is not "about to", but not a penny either. If it used to be 6-8%, then the mood has really changed.
"Polymarket is generally a sucker for hype." But it is still interesting to watch how people vote with money.