English Premier League 2025/26: Predictions and Team Chances for Matchday 30

We have prepared our analytical predictions for every match of the 30th round of the Premier League in the 2025–26 season. This round promises to be intense, as it comes immediately after the FA Cup break and a series of tough midweek matches in European competitions. Our experts analysed the current form of the teams and are ready to share their expectations.

Main Storylines and Clear Favourites

Our main favourite for the upcoming weekend is London's Arsenal. We estimate the probability of their home victory over Everton at nearly 75%. The Toffees have performed well away this season, already securing seven wins, but they have only won once at the Gunners' stadium in their last 29 visits. If Mikel Arteta's team wins, they will extend their lead to 10 points over Pep Guardiola's side before they even take the field.

Manchester City themselves urgently need to bounce back after a painful 3–0 defeat to Real Madrid in the Champions League. We believe the Citizens will regroup and confidently take three points in their away match against West Ham. The statistics support this: City have not lost to the Hammers in the league for 20 consecutive matches.

Tottenham's Historic Crisis

The catastrophic situation at Tottenham deserves special attention. The team has not won a single Premier League match in 2026 so far. New head coach Igor Tudor has had a terrible start, becoming the first manager in the club's history to lose his first four matches in charge.

After a recent humiliating 5–2 defeat to Atlético Madrid in the Champions League, Spurs' losing streak across all competitions has reached six matches - the worst run in the club's history. On Sunday, the London side faces a very difficult away trip to Anfield to face Liverpool. Our analysts see no signs of a potential upset and give the hosts a 65.1% chance of winning, leaving the struggling visitors with only 16.1%. The Reds have not lost to Spurs at home in their last 14 meetings.

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Key Matchups of the Weekend

Our predictions for other important matches of the 30th round:

Burnley - Bournemouth (Saturday): Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League matches. Burnley, on the other hand, have not won at home for 10 games. We predict a victory for the visitors with a probability of 51.3%.

Sunderland - Brighton (Saturday): Only three points separate the teams, but in this match we favor the visitors from Brighton (42.9%).

Chelsea - Newcastle United (Saturday): The Blues crushed Aston Villa 4–1 in the previous round but lost 5–2 to PSG during the week. Newcastle defeated Manchester United 2–1 but suffered a painful loss to Barcelona due to a late penalty by Lamine Yamal. In their meeting at Stamford Bridge, we predict a home victory (54.6%).

Crystal Palace - Leeds United (Sunday): The Eagles have won three of their last five matches. We consider them clear favourites (52.9%) against Leeds, who have failed to win in four consecutive games.

Manchester United - Aston Villa (Sunday): Michael Carrick suffered his first defeat as Manchester United's interim coach in the previous round against Newcastle. In the match against Villa, where the teams are separated only by goal difference in the standings, we expect a tight contest but give a slight advantage to the Red Devils (44.1%).

Nottingham Forest - Fulham (Sunday): Forest are just one point above the relegation zone, and motivation should play a key role. We predict a home victory over the inconsistent Fulham (42.3%).

Brentford - Wolverhampton (Monday): Despite Wolves' recent sensational victory over Liverpool, we do not believe the underdogs will succeed away against a solid Brentford side and give the hosts a 64.2% chance of winning.