Eurovision 2025 Winner Odds: Sweden Still Favourites on Way to Eighth Contest Win

Music fever is gripping Europe again, because there are only a few days left before the main song contest of the continent - Eurovision 2025! This year's contest is hosted by Switzerland, last year's winner thanks to Nemo's spectacular performance of "The Code". Fans and experts are already discussing potential favourites, and bookmakers are accepting bets, trying to predict who will take home the coveted crystal microphone.

Let's dive into the world of predictions and see which countries, according to analysts and bookmakers, have the best chance of winning the Eurovision Song Contest 2025.

Odds for the winner of Eurovision 2025:

Sweden

Eurovision odds 2025: Sweden - 5/4 with 1xBit

Sweden have won the Eurovision Song Contest three times in the last 12 contests and seven times in total, sharing the top spot in wins with Ireland. With 11 top-10 hits in the last 13 appearances, it's no surprise that the Scandinavians usually appear at the top of betting markets in the run-up to the competition, and 2025 was no exception for the music comedy group, which is actually Finnish. In true ABBA fashion, the title for this year's bid was made up of the first letters of the names of the three members of the group – KAJ. Surprisingly, their classic Euro-pop song celebrating Finland's niche bath culture, "Bara Bada Bastu", will be the first since 1998 to be sung in Swedish – a risky strategy. The risk is that their jokes in "Bara Bada Bastu" will remain misunderstood, but the song is catchy enough and is a refreshing change from the typically serious numbers we've seen from the Swedes in the past. Becoming number one in both Sweden and Finland, she also broke the record for the most Swedish-language song listened to in a single day on Spotify (almost 1.4 million). Obviously, another Swedish success story is gaining momentum.

Odds: Never underestimate the Swedes – even when they are Finnish.  

Austria

Artist: JJ Song: Wasted Love Eurovision 2025 odds: Austria - 3/1 with RocketPlay

JJ may have one less letter in its name than KAJ, but the Austrian definitely impresses with his song "Wasted Love," which bears a passing resemblance to Switzerland's 2021 pop opera track "Tout l'univers" by Gjon's Tears, though not as good. It's certainly a dramatic track that allows JJ to showcase his stunning soprano voice, which seems to get taller with every note. At the end of the song, there is an unexpected shift to techno, so those who like "The Code" can vote for "Wasted Love". She has yet to pass the second semi-final stage, but this is undoubtedly a formality for Austria, which famously won the Eurovision Song Contest in 2014 with Conchita Wurst's song "Rise Like A Phoenix". Betting apps make this song the clear second favourite after leading Sweden, and its chances could increase even more in the coming weeks.

Odds: A mix of pop and opera seems to be becoming a popular genre for Eurovision these days, and it wouldn't be a shock if "Wasted Love" became a big hit with the public.  

France

Artist: Louane Song: Maman Eurovision odds 2025: France - 11/1 with 1xBit

France are in the "Big Five", so they automatically qualify for the Grand Final, but despite winning five Eurovision Song Contests, recent successes have been elusive. However, the French have been close to victory in the last few years, with the magnificent "Voila" performed by Barbara Pravi coming in second place behind the Roman rockers Maneskin. Twelve months ago, Slimane was fourth with the heart-wrenching "Mon Amour", and this year's song "Maman" is sung in the same vein. Luan lost both parents as a teenager, and "Maman" is dedicated to her mother, who died in 2014 after a long illness. Theme aside, the song seems to lack the flair needed to win the Eurovision Song Contest and may have to settle for a place on the podium.

Odds: Top 5 at best, but the odds suggest more.  

Israel

Artist: Yuval Raphael Eurovision odds 2025: Israel - 14/1 with Limewin

Israel is the seventh most successful country in the Eurovision Song Contest, and according to the bookmakers, they can win again with the song "New Day Will Rise". Yuval Rafael's somber number is a stark departure from Netta's winning song "Toy", which dazzled Lisbon audiences seven years ago. Last year's bid from Eden Golan was originally called "October Rain" but was renamed "Hurricane" due to concerns that it referred to a Hamas attack that month in 2023. The video on "New Day Will Rise" depicts a group of young people having a picnic in the countryside, so interpret it however you want. A flurry of violins gives way to piano and Yuval's powerful voice for three unoriginal minutes aimed at touching your heartstrings.

Odds: Third and fifth place in the last two years – Israel seems to know what makes a song a success at Eurovision, but this one looks rather faded.  

Netherlands

Artist: Claude Song: C'est La Vie Odds for Eurovision 2025: Netherlands - 16/1 with 1xBit

The Netherlands won the Eurovision Song Contest with Duncan Lawrence's "Arcade" in 2019, but the last couple of years have been extremely awkward for the Dutch. First, Mia Nicolai and Dion Cooper failed to qualify for the Grand Final in 2023, and twelve months ago, Joost Klein was eliminated from the competition due to an "incident behind the scenes". Claude seems to be a solid choice for the Netherlands this year, combining English and French in his life-affirming track "C'est La Vie". Born in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, a native French speaker usually mixes these languages with Dutch in their music, so it doesn't feel like playing to the public. The memorable, albeit banal, chorus is likely to be well received in Basel, but what will the audience think?

Chances: Does not make you want to listen to it a second time.  

United Kingdom

Artist: Remember Monday Song: What The Hell Just Happened? Odds for Eurovision 2025: UK - 150/1 with RocketPlay

The UK always seems to go to the Eurovision Song Contest in an effort to avoid dreaded "nil points", but Sam Ryder has proven that the right song can win the hearts of the continent and beyond. Remember Monday is a country-pop trio from Farnborough and for some reason RocketPlay is giving them odds of 150/1 to win in May. However, many UK bookmakers put their odds on this cute track at 66/1, which has led music critics to vie with the craziest mashup comparisons. It's fun, eccentric and lively, and should be good for audiences in Basel, but wouldn't the general public wonder if What the hell just happened?

Odds: The song won't win, but its frivolity may make it stand out from some of the favourites.  

Eurovision 2025 odds: Underdogs on the road to Swiss success

While bookmakers are usually unmistakable in determining Eurovision winners, the market often becomes volatile, especially once live rehearsals have begun.

The Czech Republic's powerful bid, "Kiss Kiss Goodbye" by Slovak artist Adonxs, is gaining momentum and is priced at 28/1 for success in Basel, but we suspect they could perform well if they make it past the semi-finals.

Finland have only won the Eurovision Song Contest once, in 2006 with "Hard Rock Hallelujah" by flamboyant rock band Lordi, but they are 33/1 to repeat that victory with Erika Vikman's savory but memorable "Ich Komme", which is likely to raise eyebrows for many!

Estonia, like Sweden, took the comic path with Tommy Cash's "Espresso Macchiato", which did not sit well with some Italians due to the stereotyping of their lifestyle. Sung in broken English, it is pure kitsch: he looks lovingly at the cup of coffee in the first line, and later shouts: "mi money numeroso, I work around the clocko. That's why I'm sweating like a mafioso". It is sure to be well received and looks attractive at a price of 50/1.

Meanwhile, Malta is one to watch, with odds of 80/1 with 1xBit. Miriana Conte had to rework and rename her dance track "Kant" (the Maltese word for "singing") to "Serving", presumably because Eurovision organisers from the EBU thought it sounded rude.

Belgian Red Sebastian is also starting to attract attention with his track "Strobe Lights", which is priced at 35/1. Ireland, however, is the clear underdog with odds of 250/1 for the dance track "Laika Party" performed by the Norwegian Emmy.